NFL Survivor EV Grid
Surviving isn't winning. This ranks every team by what picking it is actually worth to your entry, not just how likely it is to win.
Odds — Pick % — Updated —
in pool
Highest EV pick
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expected value
| Team | Opponent | Win % | Pick % | EV | Used |
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Add pick percentages to rank the board
EV depends on what everyone else is picking, and public pick data isn't published this early in the week. Type your pool's percentages into the Pick % column above and the board sorts itself. Win probabilities are live either way, and you can load a completed week to see how it reads when it's full.
EVWhat your entry is worth if you make this pick, as a multiple of its buy-in. Above 1.00 gains you equity, below 1.00 loses it. It is not your chance of winning.
Win %Consensus of the moneylines across every book we price, converted to a probability with the bookmaker's margin removed, so the two sides of a game sum to 100%.
Pick %Share of entries on each team. Every row is editable, so you can override any of them with your own pool's numbers.
UsedMark the teams this entry has already burned. They stay on the board but drop out of the recommendation.